4/1/25 MLB Draftkings Main Slate

  • The Braves suck. The season is over. But atleast we still have DFS.

  • Outside chance of some rain and delay for MINvCWS and CHCvATH. But for now, I am treating those games as if they’ll play.

    A good mix of cool games across the slate. Some are really cold like but nothing too noteworthy. Places like ARivNYY is 50 deg but 10 mph winds blowing out towards the short porch. Really like this for lefties.

  • Tier 1:

    Logan Gilbert ($9000) vs DET: Tops the list at 27.4% K%, facing a Tigers lineup prone to whiffs, making him the clear SP1.

    Chris Sale ($8800) vs LAD: Elite 32.1% K% stands out, even against the Dodgers.

    Tier 2:

    Michael King ($8700) vs CLE: 27.7% K% keeps him in play vs. the Guardians, despite their low K%. I am a little worried after his 4 walks in first start vs Braves.

    Justin Steele ($8200) vs ATH:
    Steele getting his 3rd start of the season. Been a tough start but its been vs the Dbacks and Dodgers, so his 24.3% K% pairs well with a favorable A’s matchup.

    Logan Webb ($8500) vs HOU:
    This spot does scare me for Webb. His 20.5% K% is lower than I’d like, but his high ground ball rate leads to few blow up games.

    Corbin Burnes ($8600) vs NYY:
    Burnes isn’t quite at that same level he was in his Brewers days. And the torpedo bats have me scared facing the Yankees. 23.1% K% is down from his usual self, but playing him here would be trusting he can still pitch well enough to limit the torpedo bats here.

    Tier 3:

    Everything else is pretty gross. I wouldn’t be shocked if someone down here gets 15-20 points. But its a shot in the dark trying to nail one f them.
    Simeon Woods Richardson vs CWS:
    Gets a boost vs. the White Sox, beware of the rain risk here.
    Casey Mize ($7500) vs SEA:
    17.3% K% isn’t great but its in Seattle, which makes any pitcher playable. And I wouldn’t be surprised if Mize took a step forward if he can put together a fully healthy season.

  • Tier 1:

    Cubs vs. Luis Severino: Severino’s average profile vs. lefties boosts Kyle Tucker, Ian Happ, and Michael Busch.

    Royals vs. Chad Patrick: Rookie Chad Patrick’s fly-ball tendencies and unproven MLB readiness make the Royals a top stack. Bobby Witt, Salvador Perez, and Vinnie Pasquantino lead, with Michael Massey, MJ Melendez, Kyle Isbel, and Cavan Biggio adding cheap power and speed.

    Brewers vs. Michael Lorenzen: Lorenzen’s power vulnerability to righties and control issues vs. lefties highlight Jackson Chourio and William Contreras, with Rhys Hoskins and lefties like Christian Yelich in stacks.

    Rays vs. Thomas Harrington: Rookie Harrington’s fly-ball profile suits Brandon Lowe’s power, with Jonathan Aranda, Christopher Morel, Kameron Misner, and Jake Mangum (fresh off a 4-hit, 2-steal game) rounding out stacks.

    Padres vs. Logan Allen: Allen’s struggles vs. righties (.268 ISO, .407 wOBA) make Fernando Tatis and Manny Machado slate standouts, despite team LHP woes.

    Blue Jays vs. Trevor Williams: Williams’ fluky 2.03 ERA limits stack appeal, but Anthony Santander and Vladimir Guerrero remain spend-up targets.

    Tier 2:

    Diamondbacks vs. Will Warren: Warren’s limited sample risks power from Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte, and Josh Naylor.

    Nationals vs. Jose Berrios: Berrios’ solid outing aside, CJ Abrams and James Wood shine with contact and power.

    Angels vs. Matthew Liberatore: Liberatore’s righty splits (.216 ISO) favor Mike Trout, Taylor Ward, Jorge Soler, and Logan O’Hoppe.

    Yankees vs. Corbin Burnes: Burnes’ ground-ball tilt keeps Aaron Judge as the lone standout.

    Cardinals vs. Kyle Hendricks: Hendricks’ low-power allowance still favors lefties Lars Nootbaar, Brendan Donovan, and Alec Burleson for their upside.